Science & technology | Social science

Dr Seldon, I presume

Data from social networks are making social science more scientific

|BOSTON

“FOUNDATION”, a novel by Isaac Asimov from the golden age of science fiction, imagines a science called psychohistory which enables its practitioners to predict precisely the behaviour of large groups of people. The inventor of psychohistory, Hari Seldon, uses his discovery to save humanity from an historical dark age.

A fantasy, of course. But the rise of mobile phones and social networks means budding psychohistorians do now have an enormous amount of data that they can search for information which might yield more modest patterns of predictability. And, as several of them told the AAAS meeting, they are doing just that.

This article appeared in the Science & technology section of the print edition under the headline "Dr Seldon, I presume"

The death of a country

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